19/12/2021

A Partial Opinion On The Chip Shortage !

My Partial Opinion On The Supply Chain Crisis / Automotive Industry Micro-Chip Shortage

o   I’ve worked in the Transportation industry for about 10 years part-time – so this is my partial opinion – lol !

o   The computer chip shortage is mostly affecting the Automotive industry

o   After the WHO declared the COVID-19 Pandemic official on March 11, 2020 – the Computer industry’s sales increased as people started working from home (upgrading their IT)

o   The Automotive industry paused their semiconductor orders & limited their forecasts

§  They didn’t want any leftover inventory (unsold cars) – as everyday life & travel outside the home (as of Spring 2020) came with increased restrictions

o   A key thing to note that chips in the Automotive industry – when compared with chips in the Computer industry – are considered “older tech” / older style chips

o   The computer industry has far more modern chips – e.g. Apple M1 / M1 Pro / M1 Max / Intel i7

Apple is worth 2.807T vs GM @ 148.1B & Tesla @ 936.54B - it's not surprising that Apple's chip woes get less press than say GM or Ford or Tesla

o   Once the Automotive Industry catches up – or receives their back ordered chips – they will have to first start completing assembly of unfinished cars

o   Forecasts – again – will have to be slashed & newer vehicles will roll out slower – probably up until early / middle 2023

o   Tier 1 / 2 / 3 / Auto manufacturers/ suppliers of engines / transmissions / drivetrains / electric motors won’t be producing the same volume due to backlog of unfinished inventory

o   Overseas Chip manufacturing is mostly in Taiwan / TSMC - so it seems fairly obvious most people will be watching what is happening in Taiwan - and China - in early 2022 .

o